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Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.
The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out. https://kra26c.cc
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The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.
So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?
In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.
Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
But does that still hold true in 2024?
According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.
“There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”
“If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.
Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”
WASHINGTON, Dec 3 (Reuters) – A human rights law group contracted by the
U.S. State Department to investigate atrocities against
Rohingya Muslims in Myanmar called on Monday for the urgent establishment of a criminal tribunal to bring those responsible to justice.
There were reasonable grounds to believe the Myanmar military committed crimes against humanity, genocide and war crimes against the minority
group, the Public International Law and Policy Group (PILPG) said in a report.
The report was based on more than 1,000 interviews with Rohingya refugees who fled to Bangladesh.
The Washington-based group’s use of the term genocide adds
pressure on U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration to harden its own characterization of the treatment of the
Rohingya, something that could oblige the U.S.
government to take stronger punitive measures against Myanmar.
“The international community is obliged to protect populations subjected to atrocity crimes by their own governments and ensure justice and accountability for such crimes,” the report said.
It called for the urgent establishment of an “accountability mechanism,” or referral to the International Criminal Court.
It noted that in similar circumstances in the past, different
mechanisms had been used, including the ICC, ad hoc
tribunals established by the United Nations, and hybrid or domestic tribunals established with the
support of intergovernmental organizations.
The military in Myanmar, where Buddhism is the main religion, has denied
past accusations that it had committed genocide against the
Rohingya and says its actions were part of a fight against terrorism.
Myanmar’s Embassy in Washington did not immediately respond to a request for
comment on the report.
The United States Holocaust Memorial Museum in Washington also issued a statement on Monday saying there
was compelling evidence that the Myanmar military committed ethnic cleansing,
crimes against humanity and genocide against the Rohingya.
A report by U.N. investigators in August found that Myanmar’s military carried out mass killings and gang rapes of Rohingyas with “genocidal intent,” and said the commander-in-chief
and five generals should be prosecuted under international
law.
That report called for the U.N. Security Council to impose an arms embargo and targeted
sanctions as well as for the suspects to be
tried by an ad hoc tribunal or referred to the ICC.
However, diplomats say veto-wielding powers China and Russia are likely to protect Myanmar, previously
known as Burma, from U.N. action.
The PILPG’s refugee interviews formed the basis of a U.S.
State Department report released in September, but Washington stopped short of using the terms
crimes against humanity, genocide or war crimes. Monday’s report from PILPG added
the group’s legal analysis to its findings on the atrocities.
The State Department report, the subject of an internal debate that delayed its rollout for nearly
a month, referred to a “well-planned and coordinated” campaign of mass killings, gang rapes
and other atrocities.
A declaration of genocide by the U.S. government, which has
only gone as far as labeling the crackdown “ethnic cleansing,” could require Washington to impose stronger
sanctions on Myanmar, a country with which it has competed for
influence with regional rival China.
Asked about the PILPG report, a State Department spokesperson noted
the ethnic cleansing designation Washington has used so far, and said it “continues to review and analyze new evidence and information as it comes to light.”
More than 700,000 Rohingya Muslims fled a sweeping army crackdown in Rakhine State last year, according to U.N.
agencies. Human rights groups and Rohingya activists have put the
death toll from the crackdown in the thousands.
SENATORS CRITICIZE U.S. STANCE
U.S. senators from both sides of the aisle have criticized Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo for not going further in his condemnation.
A congressional aide said the House could vote as soon as next week on a resolution stating that the Rohingya were victims of genocide and crimes
against humanity.
The resolution also calls for the release of two Reuters reporters, Wa Lone and Kyaw Soe Oo,
who reported on the killing of 10 Rohingya men in Rakhine State
in the west of the country, implicating Myanmar’s security
forces.
A Myanmar judge found the two reporters guilty of breaching a law on state secrets and jailed them for seven years in September.
“The State Department had access to the exact same data when developing its report, yet we don´t have any policy announcement from Secretary Pompeo on a genocide determination, nor any other public statement on how the administration views the brutality. What is the reason for this silence?” Democratic Senator
Ed Markey said in a statement to Reuters.
Republican Senator Marco Rubio last week called for an immediate determination of genocide.
The lawyers’ report, based on the work of 18 investigators from 11 countries,
found that Rohingya men, women, and children were the victims of “mass shootings and aerial bombardments, gang rapes and severe beatings, torture and burning, and attacks from flamethrowers and grenade launchers.”
It focused on the build-up to and conduct of “major systematic attacks” in Myanmar’s Rakhine state between Aug.
25 and Sept. 4 of 2017.
Even as the Rohingya fled for Bangladesh they
were fired on by military helicopters while the Myanmar Navy sought to sink
overcrowded ferries, the report said, adding this showed the campaign went beyond the aim of merely driving
the people out.
“The scale and severity of the attacks and abuses … suggest that, in the minds of the perpetrators, the goal was not just to expel, but also to exterminate the Rohingya,” the report said.
(Reporting by David Brunnstrom; additional reporting by Patricia Zengerle; editing by Mary Milliken, Frances Kerry
and G Crosse)
What New Glenn will do
In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.
New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service. https://omgprice10.com
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New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.
SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.
“I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.
The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.
Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.
Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.
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The survivors of recent crashes were sitting at the back of the plane. What does that tell us about airplane safety?
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Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.
The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out.
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The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.
So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?
In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.
Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
But does that still hold true in 2024?
According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.
“There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”
“If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.
Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”
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By David Brunnstrom
WASHINGTON, Dec 3 (Reuters) – A human rights law group contracted by the
U.S. State Department to investigate atrocities against
Rohingya Muslims in Myanmar called on Monday for the urgent establishment of a criminal tribunal to bring those responsible to justice.
There were reasonable grounds to believe the Myanmar military committed crimes against humanity, genocide and war crimes against the minority
group, the Public International Law and Policy Group (PILPG) said in a report.
The report was based on more than 1,000 interviews with Rohingya refugees who fled to Bangladesh.
The Washington-based group’s use of the term genocide adds
pressure on U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration to harden its own characterization of the treatment of the
Rohingya, something that could oblige the U.S.
government to take stronger punitive measures against Myanmar.
“The international community is obliged to protect populations subjected to atrocity crimes by their own governments and ensure justice and accountability for such crimes,” the report said.
It called for the urgent establishment of an “accountability mechanism,” or referral to the International Criminal Court.
It noted that in similar circumstances in the past, different
mechanisms had been used, including the ICC, ad hoc
tribunals established by the United Nations, and hybrid or domestic tribunals established with the
support of intergovernmental organizations.
The military in Myanmar, where Buddhism is the main religion, has denied
past accusations that it had committed genocide against the
Rohingya and says its actions were part of a fight against terrorism.
Myanmar’s Embassy in Washington did not immediately respond to a request for
comment on the report.
The United States Holocaust Memorial Museum in Washington also issued a statement on Monday saying there
was compelling evidence that the Myanmar military committed ethnic cleansing,
crimes against humanity and genocide against the Rohingya.
A report by U.N. investigators in August found that Myanmar’s military carried out mass killings and gang rapes of Rohingyas with “genocidal intent,” and said the commander-in-chief
and five generals should be prosecuted under international
law.
That report called for the U.N. Security Council to impose an arms embargo and targeted
sanctions as well as for the suspects to be
tried by an ad hoc tribunal or referred to the ICC.
However, diplomats say veto-wielding powers China and Russia are likely to protect Myanmar, previously
known as Burma, from U.N. action.
The PILPG’s refugee interviews formed the basis of a U.S.
State Department report released in September, but Washington stopped short of using the terms
crimes against humanity, genocide or war crimes. Monday’s report from PILPG added
the group’s legal analysis to its findings on the atrocities.
The State Department report, the subject of an internal debate that delayed its rollout for nearly
a month, referred to a “well-planned and coordinated” campaign of mass killings, gang rapes
and other atrocities.
A declaration of genocide by the U.S. government, which has
only gone as far as labeling the crackdown “ethnic cleansing,” could require Washington to impose stronger
sanctions on Myanmar, a country with which it has competed for
influence with regional rival China.
Asked about the PILPG report, a State Department spokesperson noted
the ethnic cleansing designation Washington has used so far, and said it “continues to review and analyze new evidence and information as it comes to light.”
More than 700,000 Rohingya Muslims fled a sweeping army crackdown in Rakhine State last year, according to U.N.
agencies. Human rights groups and Rohingya activists have put the
death toll from the crackdown in the thousands.
SENATORS CRITICIZE U.S. STANCE
U.S. senators from both sides of the aisle have criticized Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo for not going further in his condemnation.
A congressional aide said the House could vote as soon as next week on a resolution stating that the Rohingya were victims of genocide and crimes
against humanity.
The resolution also calls for the release of two Reuters reporters, Wa Lone and Kyaw Soe Oo,
who reported on the killing of 10 Rohingya men in Rakhine State
in the west of the country, implicating Myanmar’s security
forces.
A Myanmar judge found the two reporters guilty of breaching a law on state secrets and jailed them for seven years in September.
“The State Department had access to the exact same data when developing its report, yet we don´t have any policy announcement from Secretary Pompeo on a genocide determination, nor any other public statement on how the administration views the brutality. What is the reason for this silence?” Democratic Senator
Ed Markey said in a statement to Reuters.
Republican Senator Marco Rubio last week called for an immediate determination of genocide.
The lawyers’ report, based on the work of 18 investigators from 11 countries,
found that Rohingya men, women, and children were the victims of “mass shootings and aerial bombardments, gang rapes and severe beatings, torture and burning, and attacks from flamethrowers and grenade launchers.”
It focused on the build-up to and conduct of “major systematic attacks” in Myanmar’s Rakhine state between Aug.
25 and Sept. 4 of 2017.
Even as the Rohingya fled for Bangladesh they
were fired on by military helicopters while the Myanmar Navy sought to sink
overcrowded ferries, the report said, adding this showed the campaign went beyond the aim of merely driving
the people out.
“The scale and severity of the attacks and abuses … suggest that, in the minds of the perpetrators, the goal was not just to expel, but also to exterminate the Rohingya,” the report said.
(Reporting by David Brunnstrom; additional reporting by Patricia Zengerle; editing by Mary Milliken, Frances Kerry
and G Crosse)
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What New Glenn will do
In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.
New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.
SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.
“I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.
The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.
Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.
Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.
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